Entries Tagged as 'Economy'

Fuel Hike: Humane Alternatives between Politics & Economics

Almost every serious “intellectual” or “economist” I know bemoans fuel subsidies - the gist being it simply doesn’t make economic sense to subsidise fuel.

Having heard the arguments, I can lend some sympathy to this view; efficiency, after all, has always been something I’ve found sexy.

I did a brief survey of what’s been written while I was away on the topic (some entries of note: Hafiz, John, Tirath, Tony), and I hope to contribute a little with regards to bridging political and economic approaches to this problem. Allow me to stress that this is a personal (read: not party, etc) view.

Once again, unqualified as I am, I find it hard to argue against such thoroughly intelligent people who insist that long term economic prosperity is better guaranteed by eventually abolishing all subsidies. Add to that environmental arguments and such, and we have a case that is more than compelling.

All that said, I think this is a good time to explore the ‘humane’ side of humane economics - ridiculous though the term may be to some.

Although much of the economic reasonings against subsidies are perfectly sound, I think it’s important to remember that we are dealing with actual people and vividly real and debilitating financial woes here.

Beyond the economic theory, there are real Malaysians who are hit hard - hard in a way many of us fortunately enough will probably never truly understand - by this sudden and drastic fuel hike.

For some Malaysians, the hike means the difference between eating at Secret Recipie or the mamak.

But for others, it could be the difference between the mamak and rice with boiled eggs; the difference between walking a kilometer to school versus taking the bus, or of going to school at all versus helping with the family business.

One can continue to imagine more of such sad litany, but the simple truth is that Malaysians out there still live in poverty. We may be prosperous enough as a whole not to see that much of it in our sanitised, everyday lives, but they are out there - take a walk away from your regular route, and I think you’ll see it.

As we weigh the options before us, I feel it’s important to be aware of the very real suffering that innumerable Malaysians will have to endure as reprecussions of our policies.

So, if economic logic with a clear and singular voice demands that we one day eliminate fuel subsidies, then so be it - let’s move towards that direction.

I will not be easily persuaded however, that the best steps in said direction to take at all resemble what the Umno/BN administration has just done.

As of yet, I have not yet heard arguments disputing the fact that rising oil prices mean greater profits for Malaysia, a net exporter of oil (if there are any though, please feel free to enlighten me).

I personally hate all things limited, and love all things renewable. One day, as sure as the day is long, we will run out of oil. For now though, as I understand it, we’re reaping it in and enjoying unprecedented profits.

While it lasts, perhaps we can ease Malaysia off oil subsidies at a gradual pace, stretched out over time - set amounts over regular intervals.

While it lasts, perhaps we can stop being half hearted about public transport (anyone notice any ‘improvements’ since the last fuel hike?), stop subsidising loss making car industries, and most importantly, kick out a government that has probably squandered more than half of the true financial prosperity Malaysia is meant to enjoy via endemic wastage and brutally vampiric corruption.

While it lasts, can we not subsidise forays into solar, wind or other renewable energies and lead the region in industries that may be difficult now, but are unquestionably (in my mind anyway) the way of the future? It’d sure as hell beat subsidising Independent Power Producers (IPPs) tied to the Francis Yeoh’s and other cronies.

In summary, I do respect the well considered views of those who argue so passionately against oil subsidies; they make it sound inevitable, and I don’t have the wherewithall to object. I’m also perfectly fine with all the other imaginative ways many have come up with to ease the financial burden of the poor.

Nonetheless, surely there must be some middle ground with regard to petrol prices; some way we can achieve economic efficiency without wrecking the unthinkable damage to so many low income earners that this sudden fuel hike has engendered.

If so, let’s not be too harsh against those calling for a lowering of the price of petrol (at least for now) - we can support them while still sketching out a sustainable master plan.

ps- Here’s a conspiracy theory as to why fuel prices were raised here and now: so that Umno can fund its campaigns in the upcoming Umno elections! :P :)

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Abdullah Wants You to “Believe Him”

theSun:

PENANG: Prime Minister Datuk Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi assured Malaysians yesterday that the economy is strong and growing well, despite claims from certain quarters to the contrary.

“We are doing well but there are still people who say that our economy is bad,” he said at a dialogue with members of the Chinese community at the Penang Chinese Town Hall.

“Kerajaan cakap, orang tak percaya, lain orang cakap, orang percaya,” (What the government says, the public does not believe, but what others say, they believe). Please believe us. We are your government and we do not lie,” said Abdullah.

I have said this many times, either people trust you or they don’t.

When Abdullah starts having to say things like “Please believe us,” it’s as clear as day that people don’t, and he’s clutching at straws.

He doesn’t stop there, commenting on our “”8th”" most competitiveness rank:

“We are a population of over 20 million and we rank eighth in the world in terms of our competitiveness.

“This is not the Government’s figure and I am not telling you lies. This statistic is from an international survey.

I had to laugh.

What kind of leader goes around saying “I am not telling you lies”?

One who is, obviously.

As we’ve described at length, Malaysia’s actual global ranking is a distant 23rd. This population more than 20 million category is a load of hogwash if you ask me.

Interestingly, Singapore is ranked 2nd most competitive in the world, bar none. But more on that later.

“If I quote statistics from our own surveys, you will not believe us. Everywhere I go, the business community tells me that Malaysia is doing very well. These people are smart. You cannot fool them because they are well-read,” he said, adding that the Government had no reason to lie.

“Please trust us – we are your government.

Everyone is telling him what??.. I can’t help but think of the Emperor’s New Clothes.

Government has no reason to lie? Because… it’s always 100% sincere and always transparent?

Who is buying this load of dung?

Must be nobody. Why else would the nation’s chief executive have to go around saying “Please trust us” like some sort of beggar.

Any leader worth his salt knows that trust cannot be asked for, it must be earned. No credible leader goes around saying “Believe us! Please!… We’re telling the truthlah… No really, really, I never bluff you wan….”

Trust is about track record, and I think Abdullah has demonstrated his perfectly well.

If you look at the economy, we are doing well. That is a fact proven by figures. But people still claim otherwise because of increasing prices. This is a very simplistic way of analysing the economy.

“Nobody is happy to see prices rising but this is out of our control. The question is not how to bring down prices but how to help the rakyat cope.

If you’re wondering whether Anwar’s message is reaching the people, I think you need look no further. Abdullah is having to bring the entire might of the Malaysian mainstream media to counter one man going around the country with a message of hope.

How about “The question is not how to bring down prices”? Sounds like iminent price hikes to me.


Prices are going to go up because a) Abdullah hasn’t the faintest idea of how to run an economy and b) because greedy BNputeras need to be fed somehow.

When it comes right down to it, how is the economy actually doing?

Hmm.. what do your pockets tell you?

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Video: How is your money spent?

Thanks for sending this by, Padma!

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Malaysia 8th most competitive? Research reveals deceptive spin

It’s all over the papers - NST, The Star, Utusan.

We’re 8th most competitive in the world?

At least NST had the decency to include the caveat:

The Institute of Management Development, in its 2007 World Competitiveness Year Book, placed Malaysia in eighth place in terms of competitiveness for countries with populations of more than 20 million.

The bolded part of course, is the giveaway.

So we went to do some research, and found the actual scoreboard for this 2007 World Competitiveness Year Book.

Here’s what it really says:

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As you can see, on a global playing field, we’re a distant 23rd. The magic number 8 only comes out when you eliminate 15 countries above us that have less than 20 million people.

For reference, we were ranked 22nd in 2006, and 17th in 1997.

I don’t know about you, but that sounds to me like a pretty lame attempt to hide the shameful failure of the Abdullah administration to truly invigorate the economy.

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Proton dumped by Volkswagen & General Motors

Just felt like combating the spin a bit. Can’t help but feel that one primary reason for the breakdown in talks (see Malaysiakini) was that Malaysia just isn’t as good a place to do business as it once was.

Corruption, an undependable judiciary, questionable preferential policies, ridiculously inflated vendor prices.. Who can blame them.

And what’s all this talk about Proton doing so well? If it’s in such great shape, how come no one wants to do business with us?

Reminds me of the Muslim car they wanted to put together. I’ll admit that it’s a great gimmick, but it sounds like that’s exactly what it is.

A compass and space for the Holy Quran and a prayer mat are all well and good. But a real Muslim car is one made by a company and in a country that extols the best of Muslim virtues: integrity, fairness and justice for all.

Malaysia’s Proton? I doubt it.

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Fuel prices set to skyrocket!

Unbelievable timing. Maybe they figure they ought to get the protesting out of the way :P

NST:

Abdullah said the RM40 billion-a-year subsidy for fuel was too much for the government to bear. “If the subsidy is reduced, we will have a lot of money to develop our country.”

I think what he meant to say is that “we will have a lot of money to steal.”

Supposedly saved from last fuel hike: ~RM 4 billion
Softest “loan” in the world to PKFZ: RM 4.6 billion.

In one swoop, all “savings” disappear. And that’s just ONE corrupt project out of hundreds and thousands.

Are you going to sit there and let Malaysians get bitchslapped again and again?

Or are you coming to town today?

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Malays also discriminated against by Umno

Any Malay, opposition supporter with plans to get Class F (bumiputera) government contracts?

See Ronnie Liu:

Yes, I know this thing is expected.

But is it right?

Don’t be apathetic, and for goodness sake, don’t think it’s just something between Malays.

It’s a rot that is affecting all Malaysians.

Stand up, speak out.

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